Heres my guess how this is done:
1. the card is obviously forced and I think is gimicked. The card is two cards glued together, they are glued all the way, except top right corner (the part where he has to put his thumb to split the cards). The forced card is short card to easily find it among others.
2. With few cuts the card is controlled to bottom, or near bottom, it doesn't matter exactly where it ends.
3. Split into three piles
4. He can freely show the card isn't in these piles, couse the selected card is hidden under glued card. Notice that he rotate the deck 180 degree bofere he put it on table. The is to make sure when he grabs the piles, he will hold the piles exactly where is the part that isn't glued - this is just to make sure spectator won't see the gap between these two cards
6. Show the card that has been on his thumb from beginning of this trick
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